Why Bitcoin Could Drop to $65 K Amid Global War
Geopolitical risk & investor flight to safety
Recent tensions—such as the Israel–Iran airstrikes on June 13—have triggered sharp risk-off moves in crypto, with BTC falling over 2% to below $103 K
. Historically, sudden war escalations often cause massive sell-offs by leveraged traders .
Correlation with stock markets & macro sell-off
Bitcoin currently behaves more like a speculative risk asset than a safe haven. When stocks slump due to recession fears, tariffs, or war, BTC often slides along with them
cointelegraph.com
Liquidations triggering cascades
Technical charts show a strong support range around $65–74 K, with $65 K a crucial liquidation trigger point for short-covering. A breakdown through $74 K could unleash further sell pressure toward $65 K
Fed & central bank liquidity dynamics
Looming rate hikes or flattened monetary easing may reduce liquidity. Some analysts note that in a liquidity vacuum, BTC could slump toward major support levels near $65 K
📉 Is $65 K a “Buy Zone”?
Yes—if you're bullish and believe this is merely a temporary dip:
Strong technical floor: The $65 K level has shown historical bounce behavior. Analysts like Peter Brandt flagged it as a critical support .
Long-term growth drivers intact: Despite war-driven dips, Bitcoin has recovered over past conflicts and reflects long-term inflation hedging and adoption trends
Institutional backing remains strong: Big players continue to accumulate—e.g., Michael Saylor's firm snapped up 10,001 BTC (~$1 billion) in mid-June
✅ Ideal Buyer Strategy
Scale in gradually within the $65–75 K band—don’t rush all at once.
Use limit orders close to $65 K to catch the dip from overleveraged drops.
Set clear stop-losses below the next support zone (e.g., $57 K) to manage downside risks
Keep an eye on macro signals—Fed announcements, war developments, and dollar index shifts strongly influence BTC direction
🧭 Summary
World war-like flare-ups can send short-term BTC plunging—$65 K is a realistic floor.
That zone offers a low-risk entry point for long-term holders.
Macro and technical signals support the high probability of a bounce.
But it’s not without risk—prepare for volatility and global economic changes.
📌 Next Steps for Traders & Investors
Action Details
Monitor war-related headlines Geopolitical shocks (especially involving Iran, Israel, Russia) can trigger flash dips.
Track macro cues Fed meetings, inflation reports, and dollar strength affect liquidity flows into crypto.
Watch BTC charts $74 K = near-term support; $65 K = key buy zone; $57 K = deep-stop level.
Position with clarity Define your risk tolerance and trade size before the dip.
⚠️ Final Take
If you're convinced in Bitcoin’s long-term thesis—as a hedge against inflation, fiat instability, and adoption—the $65 K level could be one of 2025’s most compelling buy zones. Just remember: enter smart, manage risk aggressively, and stay disciplined.